FCAS, FSA, FCIA, MAAA
Independent Contractor and Consulting Actuary
December 2012 Apex Discussion Series
Florida House Bill 119
Authored by Roosevelt C. Mosley Jr. and Steven G. Lehmann.
Impact Analysis of Florida HB 119
Actuarial Analysis Conducted by Pinnacle Actuarial Resources, Inc.
Authored by LeRoy Boison and Steven G. Lehmann.
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Pinnacle was retained by an insurance company specializing in catastrophic risk to identify and test alternative sources of risk financing capacity including traditional reinsurance and catastrophe bonds. In order to complete the project, Pinnacle designed a dynamic financial model to determine the cost/benefit of alternate risk financing strategies.
Territory / Summit Analysis
The insurer had not reviewed or adjusted their territorial boundaries in several years; and their current territories were not based upon an analysis of their underlying loss experience.
Pinnacle began with an evaluation of available insurer and external industry data at the ZIP code level as well as their current and future policy processing capabilities. After all of the experience data was adjusted to a common base level, we used our Summit® software product to smooth the data to develop an initial adjusted pure premium by ZIP code to reflect both experience in a ZIP code and in neighboring ZIP codes. The number of additional neighboring ZIP codes used was dependent upon attaining a sufficient exposure level.
The smoothed data was then clustered using Summit® on both a contiguous and non-contiguous basis. The insurer needed to decide whether to maintain relatively contiguous definitions or use more granular and theoretically accurate non-contiguous definitions. Using statistical measures, we identified and graphed optimal definition sets. Non-contiguous definitions were selected by the client. To minimize the number of territories with a limited geographic area or only a few ZIP codes, some manual combination of “outlying” ZIP codes with territories (clusters) with similar adjusted pure premiums was performed.
Finally, we assisted the insurer in developing the necessary filing support material to gain approval. The new program is generating new business in areas of historical profitability but previously less than average competiveness.
Underwriting & Tiering Analysis
A single state auto insurance writer hired Pinnacle to address its current rating and tiering program. We removed unnecessary underwriting restrictions and more adequately priced risk classes, which allowed the insurer to experience significant, profitable growth.
When we began, the company’s existing tiering design was only based on a few factors, including ones that significantly overlapped with the rating plan. When combined with the underwriting rules, the design was punitive and limited writable business. Through predictive modeling, we helped design a new tiering structure and applied an underwriting scoring approach to eliminate rating plan overlap and remove the overly punitive parts of the plan.
At Pinnacle, we partner with you to explore whatever path it takes to find the answers you need.
January 16, 2018
Joint Industry Forum 2018
January 18, 2018
January Apex Discussion Series -
Statements of Actuarial Opinion at Year-End 2017
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Pinnacle is an actuarial firm focused on property/casualty insurance, including alternative markets, captives, self insureds, enterprise risk management, predictive analytics, commercial lines and more. We serve trucking, insurance, health care, medical professional liability, reinsurance, workers compensation, public entities and other companies and concerns.
Our services include expert witness, loss reserving, litigation support, pricing, ratemaking, rate filing, statements of actuarial opinion, feasibility studies, capital modeling and other actuarial services and products.
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